The Weekly Flyer - Monday, November 5th, 2018

Sources:

1 https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-rally-fizzles-in-wake-of-strong-payrolls-report-1541201581?mod=hp_DAY_8 (or go to https://s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/peakcontent/+Peak+Commentary/11-05-18_Barrons-Stock_Rally_Fizzles_in_Wake_of_Strong_Payrolls_Report-Footnote_1.pdf)

2 https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/what-are-leading-lagging-and-coincident-indicators/

3 https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

4 https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-economy-unemployment/u-s-labor-market-tightening-manufacturing-slowing-idUSKCN1N64XA

5 https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-fear-1541091809?mod=hp_LEAD_3 (or go to https://s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/peakcontent/+Peak+Commentary/11-05-18_Barrons-How_to_Take_Fear_Out_of_Your_Investing_Decisions-Footnote_5.pdf)

6 https://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/economic-synopses/2018/06/01/recession-signals-the-yield-curve-vs-unemployment-rate-troughs

7 https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-will-likely-raise-rates-after-strong-jobs-report-1541176431 (or go to https://s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/peakcontent/+Peak+Commentary/11-05-18_WSJ-Fed-Will_Likely_Raise_Rates_After_Strong_Jobs_Report-Footnote_7.pdf)

8 https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-economy/u-s-job-growth-soars-annual-wage-gain-largest-since-2009-idUSKCN1N70AJ

9 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3949005/

10 https://www.behavioraleconomics.com/resources/mini-encyclopedia-of-be/present-bias/

11 https://canvas.harvard.edu/files/2761311/download?download_frd=1 (Pages 10, 14-16; Course taught by Brigitte C. Madrian, https://scholar.harvard.edu/bmadrian/classes/api-304-behavioral-economics-and-public-policy)

12 https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/2b03/cdc6119a5578cd284d8fe9de99e1f169a8fb.pdf (Pages 262-263, 265)

13 https://books.google.com/books?id=ulhHdvbDRUkC&pg=PA319&lpg=PA319&dq=If+we+now+care+little+about+ourselves+in+the+further+future,+our+future+selves+are+like+future+generations.+We+can+affect+them+for+the+worse,+and,+because+they+do+not+now+exist,+they+cannot+defend+themselves.+Like+future+generations,+future+selves+have+no+vote,+so+their+interests+need+to+be+specially+protected.&source=bl&ots=lVFartNzpF&sig=LgqLWOkCgwMIpj5ixgDFIqNMJuw&hl=en&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwil5t3plbbeAhVRmeAKHbX1AhYQ6AEwAHoECAAQAQ#v=onepage&q=319&f=false (pages 319-320) (or go to https://s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/peakcontent/+Peak+Commentary/11-05-18_Book_Excerpt-Reasons_and_Persons-Footnote_13.pdf)